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NAEP Technical DocumentationLong-Term Trend School Sample Measures of Size

         

Age Distribution Fractions

 

For 9-year-olds, the frame contained schools in the PSUs with a second, third, fourth, or fifth grade. Mij(2), Mij(3), Mij(4), and Mij(5) denote the estimated enrollments for four grades respectively within each school j within each PSU i, and Fi(2), Fi(3), Fi(4), and Fi(5) denote the global percentage of students who were 9 years old (birth months January 1994 through December 1994) within each grade, NAEP region, and within public and private schools separately. These values are shown in the table below for public and private schools respectively. Age Distribution Fractions for Nine and Thirteen-Year Olds describes how the NAEP sample design staff computed these percentages (as well as those for 13- and 17-year-old students given below). The totals are less than 100 percent as a small number of nine-year olds are distributed outside of the grade range second through fifth.

Age distribution percentages for 9-year old students, long-term trend assessment: By school type and NAEP region, 2004
School type NAEP region Fi(2) Fi(3) Fi(4) Fi(5) Total
Public schools Northeast 2.0 27.5 69.9 0.4 99.7
Southeast 6.3 41.4 51.4 0.3 99.5
Central 2.8 42.5 54.3 0.2 99.8
West 1.9 32.3 65.4 0.2 99.9
Private schools Northeast 0.9 24.0 73.3 1.7 99.9
Southeast 1.1 38.1 60.1 0.5 99.7
Central 0.7 41.7 57.0 0.5 99.9
West 0.7 32.1 66.0 1.0 99.9
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2004 Long-Term Trend Assessment.

The measure of size for the 9-year-olds component of the long-term trend study for each school was computed as follows:

S subscript ij equals summation overscript 5 and underscript g equals 2. F subscript i left parentheses g right parentheses multiplied by M subscript ij left parentheses g right parentheses

For 13-year-olds, the frame contained schools in the PSUs with a fifth, sixth, seventh, or eighth grade. Mij(6), Mij(7), Mij(8), and Mij(9) denote the estimated enrollments for the four grades respectively within each school j within each PSU i, and Gi(6), Gi(7), Gi(8), and Gi(9) denote the global percentage of students who were 13 years old (birth months January 1990 through December 1990) within each grade, NAEP region, and within public and private schools separately. These values are shown in the table below for public and private schools respectively. Age Distribution Fractions for Nine and Thirteen-Year Olds describes how sample design staff computed these percentages . The totals are less than 100 percent as a small number of 13-year-olds are distributed outside of the grade range 6 through 9.

Age distribution percentages for 13-year-olds, long-term trend assessment: By school type and NAEP region, 2004
School type NAEP region Gi(6) Gi(7) Gi(8) Gi(9) Total
Public schools Northeast 2.6 28.2 68.3 0.8 99.8
Southeast 6.1 37.7 55.0 0.4 99.2
Central 3.1 43.1 53.4 0.2 99.9
West 2.5 33.3 63.5 0.4 99.8
Private schools Northeast 1.2 23.4 74.3 1.1 99.9
Southeast 1.5 37.2 60.4 0.6 99.8
Central 1.4 38.5 59.6 0.4 99.9
West 1.8 33.6 63.3 0.9 99.6
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2004 Long-Term Trend Assessment.

The measure of size for the 13-year-olds component of the long-term trend study for each school was computed as follows:

S subscript ij equals summation overscript 9 and underscript g equals 6. G subscript i left parentheses g right parentheses multiplied by M subscript ij left parentheses g right parentheses

For 17-year-olds, the frame contained schools in the PSUs with a ninth, tenth, eleventh, or twelfth grade. Mij(9), Mij(10), Mij(11), and Mij(12) denote the estimated enrollments for the four grades respectively within each school j within each PSU i, and Ji(9), Ji(10), Ji(11), and Ji(12) denote the global percentage of students who were 17 years old (birth months October 1986 through September 1987) within each grade and NAEP region. These values are shown in the table below for all schools, public and private, together (a breakout by public/private status was not done as for ages 9 and 13 because of the small percentage of private school students in the twelfth grade). Age Distribution Fractions for Age 17 describes how sample design staff computed these percentages . The totals are less than 100 percent as a small number of 17-year-olds are distributed outside of the grade range ninth through twelfth.

Age distribution percentages for 17-year-olds, long-term trend assessment: By school type and NAEP region, 2004
School type and NAEP region Ji(9) Ji(10) Ji(11) Ji(12) Total
Northeast 3.9 22.6 65.4 8.0 100
Southeast 5.9 24.3 66.2 3.7 100
Central 3.7 30.6 63.7 2.0 100
West 5.4 23.1 64.7 6.7 100
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2004 Long-Term Trend Assessment.

The measure of size for the 17-year-olds component of the long-term trend study for each school was computed as follows:

S subscript ij equals summation overscript 12 and underscript g equals 9. J subscript i left parentheses g right parentheses multiplied by M subscript ij left parentheses g right parentheses

The within-school sample size for 9-year-olds and 13-year-olds for each school, yij, is as follows :

Y subscript ij equals S ij.  S ij less than or equal to 128 over Y subscript ij equals 128.  129 less than or equal to S ij

For 17-year-olds the within-school sample size is as follows:

Y subscript ij equals S ij.  S ij less than or equal to 121 over Y subscript ij equals 121.  122 less than or equal to S ij

The school measure of size for 9- and 13-year-olds is:

MOS subscript ij equals open left brace S subscript ij divided by 128  if 129 is less than or equal to S subscript ij or 1 if 20 less than or equal to S subscript ij less than or equal to 128 if S subscript ij divided by 20 if 6 is less than or equal to S subscript ij less than or equal to 19 or 0.25 if S subscript ij less than or equal to 5

For 17-year-olds the school measure of size is:

MOS subscript ij equals open left brace S subscript ij divided by 121 if 122 is less than or equal to S subscript ij or 1 if 20 less than or equal to S subscript ij less than or equal to 121 if S subscript ij divided by 20 if 6 is less than or equal to S subscript ij less than or equal to 19 or 0.25 if S subscript ij less than or equal to 5

The school probability of selection for all three ages is as follows:

Pi subscript j|i left parentheses R right parentheses equals min left parentheses 1 comma R times PSC subscript ij times MOS subscript ij divided by pi subscript I right parentheses

PSCijis equal to 1, except for private schools identified in the area probability component of the Private School Survey (PSS). For these schools, PSCij is the reciprocal of the probability of selection into the PSS area probability component. Adding this component to the measure of size allows us to correctly represent the full universe of private schools in this area probability component. R is computed so that the expected yield within the sampled schools equals the overall target of sampled students in each age group. These targets and the calculated values for R are given in the table below.

Sampling targets and factors, long-term trend assessment: By school type and age, 2004
School type Age sample Student target Computed factor R
Public 9-year-old 30,200 0.00822
Private 9-year-old 7,600 0.02040
Public 13-year-old 31,700 0.00872
Private 13-year-old 8,000 0.02258
Public 17-year-old 39,300 0.01216
Private 17-year-old 10,200 0.03647
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), 2004 Long-Term Trend Assessment.

Last updated 22 October 2009 (GF)

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